The poll examined the parties' support base in several dimensions.
Stable ruling party dominance, feeble left
In the political arena, support for Fidesz-KDNP is 42 percent, while opposition alliance would achieve 25 percent in a parliamentary election if it was due this Sunday, according to the latest survey conducted by Századvég. The research mapped the party preference indicators among the politically active Hungarian population (promising participation in the elections for sure or likely).
The advantage of Fidesz-KDNP over the left-liberal side is undiminished
If left-wing parties – similarly to the 2022 parliamentary elections – were to draw up a joint list, 42 percent of respondents would vote for the governing parties and 25 percent for the opposition alliance.
Eleven percent of voters would vote for Magyar Kétfarkú Kutyapárt, 9 percent would vote for Mi Hazánk Mozgalom, and the proportion of those who refused to answer and were undecided was 12 percent.
In case the parties of the six-party left-wing alliance decided to run independently in a parliamentary election if it was due this Sunday,
Fidesz-KDNP would be supported by 40 percent of the votes of Hungarians, Magyar Kétfarkú Kutyapárt by 11 percent, and Demokratikus Koalíció and Mi Hazánk Mozgalom by 9 percent each.
According to the survey, Momentum's voter base is estimated at 8 percent. Jobbik, LMP (2 percent each), MSZP and Párbeszéd Magyarországért (1 percent each) would not even reach the 5 percent threshold required to win mandates.
In summary, one year after the 2022 parliamentary elections, political support for the Fidesz-KDNP party alliance remains outstanding, while the opposition side is characterized by strong fragmentation and general unpopularity.
Methodology
CATI-method, n=1000, among the politically active Hungarian adult population (politically active = those who promise to participate in the elections for sure or likely), data collection: March 2023