THE HUNGARIAN ECONOMY GREW BY 17.9%


Q2 economic performance was 17.9% higher than a year earlier, and, on a quarterly basis, economic output grew by 2.7%. This figure is also better than analysts’ expectations.

The economy of the European Union expanded slower than the Hungarian economy, by 13.2% on an annual basis and by 1.9% on a quarterly basis. The eurozone’s growth rate was 13.6% and 2.0%, respectively.

The annual Hungarian growth rate was the third highest among the reporting Member States after Spain (19.8%) and France (18.7%), both of which suffered a significant downturn in the base period. In terms of quarter-on-quarter growth, Hungary was outgrown by Portugal (4.9%), Austria (4.3%), Latvia (3.7%), the Netherlands (3.1%) and Spain (2.8%).

Among the Visegrad countries, on a quarterly basis, the Czech economy expanded by only 0.6%, the Slovak economy by 2.0% and the Polish economy by 1.9%.

In July, inflation fell from 5.3% in the previous month to 4.6%. The increase in excise duty on tobacco products continues to play a role in this, bringing the price of tobacco products up 18.1% in one year. Inflation was also significantly affected by the 19.8% rise in fuel prices. Food prices were 3.1% and service prices were 2.9% higher than a year earlier.
 

Remark: Seasonally and working-day adjusted data from the first estimates.
Source: Eurostat
%
ESP19,8
FRA18,7
HUN17,7
ITA17,3
POR15,5
BEL14,5
ROU13,6
EA1913,6
EU2713,2
CYP12,9
AUT11,4
POL10,7
SVK10,2
LAT10
NED9,7
BUL9,6
SWE9,3
GER9,2
LTU8,6
DK8,2
CZR7,8
FIN7,4

Real economy

Based on raw data, industrial output was 22.0% higher in June than in the same period of the previous year, while it was 18.6% higher based on working-day adjustment data. Output shrank by 0.3% in one month. The low baseline figure played a significant role in annual growth. The June sales volume was 17.7% higher than one year earlier. Within this, domestic sales increased by 23.4% and export sales by 14.4%.
 

Remark: Seasonally and working-day adjusted data
Source: HCSO, Századvég
OutputDomestic salesExport sales
jan.17100100100
febr.17102,442946794,92709841103,4159844
márc.17103,461453795,84974458100,9803782
ápr.17103,263908797,56219446102,8228646
máj.17105,560623498,23644087105,5317655
jún.17104,474364797,39196095103,0393655
júl.17100,996088696,49335189100,9145708
aug.17104,803791398,27877191104,8500955
szept.17104,254759299,28606702104,5958729
okt.17105,544734797,87360843104,7283336
nov.17104,276354298,94197123103,9047291
dec.17106,5252616101,0227658104,1540877
jan.18107,0176805100,3954297103,8452758
febr.18106,2508938104,023899103,1176979
márc.18106,1981372106,3608933105,8169796
ápr.18106,1882864100,8375813103,1587213
máj.18108,8598215102,8670762106,2122906
jún.18108,0853012103,6462404105,2239304
júl.18105,1784301100,7195344103,6150909
aug.18109,2782259106,6806348106,7533378
szept.18106,2588223103,2941323101,3001022
okt.18108,3867204106,1830827106,6227218
nov.18108,2095775105,6543647106,3853294
dec.18114,1260378108,240496111,9988076
jan.19112,4858674109,3369302111,4146831
febr.19112,4064902108,0164279110,4727701
márc.19114,7610725108,9808651110,7178824
ápr.19112,5319265110,1233432111,4656703
máj.19116,8110,9480139114,0947526
jún.19112,8109,3901905110,4890807
júl.19115,0112,1165692113,2431949
aug.19112,5106,6749167112,7198192
szept.19115,8109,1904918115,6873486
okt.19114,4108,836947114,6961789
nov.19113,8107,4092912110,9181548
dec.19111,0108,8651003109,5823328
jan.20116,0106,9792276116,3743309
febr.20114,2106,3278126113,8137315
márc.20102,5104,559643696,16918427
ápr.2072,090,0736026162,74484317
máj.2084,792,2835435582,0495214
jún.20100,197,68387808101,1927005
júl.20106,5102,6421333106,3739741
aug.20112,2103,9723266112,0544369
szept.20114,3106,5204559115,1261164
okt.20116,6107,286586117,8571487
nov.20115,5107,8226625118,5887115
dec.20112,7104,30629113,5388573
jan.21113,1106,8112968115,0676651
febr.21118,6111,5688038118,1987571
márc.21118,8115,4891195116,9090584
ápr.21115,1112,8741618114,0226903
máj.21118,9116,1816377113,4444188
jún.21118,6118,0714273112,4542659

Taking a closer look at the subsectors of the industry, one can see that output increased in mining (27.6%), manufacturing (22.2%) and the energy industry (12.8%) in June. Within the manufacturing industry, the largest expansion (69.9%) was achieved by the electrical equipment manufacturing sector, followed by coke production and oil refining with 37.7% and the metals industry with 33.5%. The output of the important automobile industry was 13.6% higher than one year before. At the end of June, the order books of key manufacturing industries were 8.8% larger than a year earlier. Within this, the volume of domestic sales orders was 1.4%, while that of export sales orders was 9.3% higher than a year earlier. The volume of new sales orders was 5.6% higher than one year before. Within this, the volume of new domestic sales orders increased by 21.4%, while that of new export sales orders increased by 3.3%.

In May, the number of employees was close to pre-coronavirus levels.

In June, according to seasonally adjusted data, the number of employees increased by 5,000 to 4,640,000. This represents an annual increase of 76,000, but the number of employees is still 20,000 lower than in December 2019. In June, activity also increased, by 9,000 on a monthly basis and by 31,000 on an annual basis, so the activity rate in the 15-74 age group was already 65.7 percent.

Please find the full report here:

monthly monitor september

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